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Ensemble Model Prediction
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Probabilistic Forecast (Three-month Prediction)
> Global maps of scores (RSS, ROCA)
Verification of Probabilistic Forecast (Leadtime 1-month)
Brier Skill Score(left), ROC Area Skill Score(right)
Element:
Surface Temperature
Precipitation
Sea Surface Temperature
Initial date:
27-Dec
31-Jan
25-Feb
27-Mar
26-Apr
31-May
30-Jun
30-Jul
29-Aug
28-Sep
28-Oct
27-Nov
Event:
all case
above-normal
near-normal
below-normal
Brier Skill Score
ROC Area Skill Score
[Probabilistic Forecast]
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