El Nino Monitoring Indices Climate Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency The elnino/index/ directory contains Readme.txt (this file) and historical data on the Southern Oscillation Index (soi) in ASCII format, and one sub-directory for Sea Surface Temperature Indices (sstindex). 1. Southern Oscillation Index (SOI; file name: soi) This index represents the intensity of trade winds over the equatorial Pacific, with negative values indicating weaker-than-normal winds, a typical characteristic associated with El Nino events. The data come from monthly mean sea-level pressure values reported in CLIMAT messages from Tahiti in the South Pacific and Darwin in Australia. The index is defined as SOI = X / SD(X), where X = ANM(Ps(T))/SD(Ps(T)) - ANM(Ps(D))/SD(Ps(D)), and Ps(A) is sea-level pressure for point A, ANM(B) and SD(B) are the anomaly and standard deviation of element B, and T and D represent Tahiti and Darwin, respectively. The base period for the normal is 1991 - 2020. The latest values are preliminary. 2. Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Indices SST indices consist of monthly mean SSTs, monthly mean SST anomalies (for the 1991 - 2020 base period), monthly mean SST deviations (for the latest sliding 30-year base period), and related five-month means averaged over the five El Nino Monitoring Regions listed below since January 1949. The latest values are preliminary. Monthly mean SSTs are analyzed by JMA's Climate Prediction Division. The five El Nino Monitoring Regions are: NINO.1+2: EQ. - 10 S 90 W - 80 W NINO.3: 5 N - 5 S 150 W - 90 W NINO.4: 5 N - 5 S 160 E - 150 W NINO.WEST: 15 N - EQ. 130 E - 150 E IOBW: 20 N - 20 S 40 E - 100 E The directory (elnino/index/sstindex) contains two sub-directories corresponding to the base periods of 1991 - 2020 and the latest sliding 30-year period (directories: base_period_9120 and sliding_30year_period). SST indices are derived from MGDSST datasets (Kurihara et al. 2006) after June 2015 and those of COBE-SST2 (Hirahara et al. 2014) before this. 2-1. base_period_9120 directory This directory (elnino/index/sstindex/base_period_9120/) contains five sub-directories corresponding to the five El Nino Monitoring Regions. There are three data files under these sub-directories: (1) Monthly mean SST (file name: sst) (2) Monthly mean SST anomaly (file name: anomaly) (The base period for the normal is 1991 - 2020) (3) 5-month running mean SST anomaly (file name: 5rmean) (The base period for the normal is 1991 - 2020) Data files are in text format. The first line in each shows the month, and subsequent lines contain data from 1949 to the latest year. The unit is degrees centigrade, and entries of 99.9 (or 99.90) represent undetermined values. 2-2. sliding_30year_period directory This directory (elnino/index/sstindex/sliding_30year_period/) contains three sub-directories corresponding to the Nino.3, Nino.West and IOBW regions. There are three data files under each of these sub-directories: (1) Monthly mean SST climatological reference based on the latest sliding 30-year period (file name: sst) The SST climatological reference is defined as the SST averaged over the latest sliding 30-year period for Nino.3, and as a linear extrapolation with respect to the latest sliding 30-year period for Nino.West and IOBW. (2) Monthly mean SST deviation (file name: deviation) SST deviation is defined as the difference between the monthly mean SST and the climatological reference based on the latest sliding 30-year period. (3) Five-month running mean SST deviation (file name: 5rmean) Data files are in text format. The first line in each shows the month, and subsequent lines indicate data from 1949 to the latest year. The unit is degrees centigrade, and entries of 99.9 (or 99.90) represent undetermined values. Directory structure TOP | +-- elnino | +-- index | +-- Readme.txt | +-- soi | +-- sstindex | +--- base_period_9120 | | | +-- Nino_1+2 ---- sst, anomaly, 5rmean | | | +-- Nino_3 ---- sst, anomaly, 5rmean | | | +-- Nino_4 ---- sst, anomaly, 5rmean | | | +-- Nino_West---- sst, anomaly, 5rmean | +--- sliding_30year_period | +-- Nino_3 ---- sst, deviaiton, 5rmean | +-- Nino_West---- sst, deviaiton, 5rmean | +-- IOBW ---- sst, deviaiton, 5rmean For inquiries relating to this data set, see http://www.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/contact.html. References Hirahara, S., M. Ishii, and Y. Fukuda, 2014: Centennial-scale sea surface temperature analysis and its uncertainty. J. Climate, 27, 57-75. Kurihara, Y., T. Sakurai, and T. Kuragano 2006: Global daily sea surface temperature analysis using data from satellite microwave radiometer, satellite infrared radiometer and in-situ observations. Weather Service Bulletin, 73, Special issue, s1-s18 (in Japanese).