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Ensemble Model Prediction
> Hindcast(JMA/MRICPS2)
Hindcast(JMA/MRICPS2)
Hindcast Configuration
JMA/MRICPS2
Hindcast Verification
Deterministic score Maps
Variables to be Assessed: T2m, PSEA, SST, RAIN, Z100, Z200, Z300, Z500, Z850, T850, U200, U850, V200, V850, PSI200, PSI850, CHI200, CHI850
Diagonostic Measures:
Mean Square Skill Score(MSSS)
Anomaly Correation(ACOR)
Root Mean Squared Error(RMSE)
Ratio of Standard Deviation(SD)
Analysis Standard Deviation
Model Standard Deviation
Bias
Analysis Climatology
Model Climatology
Probabilistic score Diagrams
Variables to be Assessed: T2m, PSEA, SST, RAIN, Z100, Z200, Z300, Z500, Z850, T850, U200, U850, V200, V850, PSI200, PSI850, CHI200, CHI850
Diagonostic Measures:
Reliability diagrams (Aggregated verification)
Relative Operating Characteristics(ROC) curve (Aggregated verification)
Event: Anomaly > 0, Below Normal, Near Normal, Above Normal, All
The 3 categories(abovenormal, nearnormal, belownormal) are defined by standard deviations of the observed 30 years time series at each grid point.
Probabilistic score Maps
Variables to be Assessed: T2m, PSEA, SST, RAIN, Z100, Z200, Z300, Z500, Z850, T850, U200, U850, V200, V850, PSI200, PSI850, CHI200, CHI850
Diagonostic Measures:
Relative Operating Characteristics(ROC) areas (Grid point verification)
Event: Anomaly > 0, Below Normal, Near Normal, Above Normal, All
The 3 categories(abovenormal, nearnormal, belownormal) are defined by standard deviations of the observed 30 years time series at each grid point.
Timeseries Circulation Index
ENSO Index score
ENSO Index timeseries
Hindcast Maps
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Tokyo Climate Center, Climate Prediction Division.
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