Hindcast(JMA/MRI-CPS3)

Hindcast Configuration

• JMA/MRI-CPS3

Hindcast Verification

• Deterministic score Maps
• Variables to be Assessed: T2m, PSEA, SST, RAIN, Z500, T850, PSI200, PSI850, CHI200, CHI850
• Diagonostic Measures:
• Mean Square Skill Score(MSSS)
• Anomaly Correation(ACOR)
• Root Mean Squared Error(RMSE)
• Bias
• Model Climatology

• Probabilistic score Diagrams
• Variables to be Assessed: T2m, PSEA, SST, RAIN, Z500, T850
• Diagonostic Measures:
• Reliability diagrams (Aggregated verification)
• Relative Operating Characteristics(ROC) curve (Aggregated verification)
• Event: Anomaly > 0, Below Normal, Near Normal, Above Normal, All
The 3 categories(above-normal, near-normal, below-normal) are defined by standard deviations of the analyzed 30 years time series at each grid point.

• Probabilistic score Maps
• Variables to be Assessed: T2m, PSEA, SST, RAIN, Z500, T850
• Diagonostic Measures:
• Relative Operating Characteristics(ROC) areas (Grid point verification)
• Event: Anomaly > 0, Below Normal, Near Normal, Above Normal, All
The 3 categories(above-normal, near-normal, below-normal) are defined by standard deviations of the analyzed 30 years time series at each grid point.

• Time-series Circulation Index

• SST Index score

• ENSO Index time-series

• Hindcast Maps