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Ensemble Model Prediction
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Verification of One-month Prediction
> Reliability diagrams for each season
Reliability diagrams for each season
Event
anomaly > 0
anomaly > standard deviation * 0.5
anomaly < standard deviation * (-0.5)
forecast period
the 1st week
the 2nd week
the third and forth week
28 days mean
season
Winter 2024
Autumn 2024
Summer 2024
Spring 2024
Winter 2023
Autumn 2023
Summer 2023
Spring 2023
Winter 2022
Autumn 2022
Summer 2022
Spring 2022
Winter 2021
Autumn 2021
Summer 2021
Spring 2021
Winter 2020
Autumn 2020
Summer 2020
Spring 2020
Winter 2019
Autumn 2019
Summer 2019
Spring 2019
Winter 2018
Autumn 2018
Summer 2018
Spring 2018
Winter 2017
Autumn 2017
Summer 2017
Spring 2017
Winter 2016
Autumn 2016
Summer 2016
Spring 2016
Winter 2015
Autumn 2015
Summer 2015
Spring 2015
Winter 2014
Autumn 2014
Summer 2014
Spring 2014
Winter 2013
Autumn 2013
Summer 2013
Spring 2013
Winter 2012
Autumn 2012
Summer 2012
Spring 2012
Winter 2011
Autumn 2011
Summer 2011
Spring 2011
Winter 2010
Autumn 2010
Summer 2010
Spring 2010
Winter 2009
Autumn 2009
Summer 2009
Spring 2009
Winter 2008
Autumn 2008
Summer 2008
Spring 2008
Winter 2007
Autumn 2007
Summer 2007
Spring 2007
Winter 2006
Autumn 2006
Summer 2006
Spring 2006
Winter 2005
Autumn 2005
Summer 2005
Spring 2005
Winter 2004
Autumn 2004
Summer 2004
Spring 2004
Winter 2003
Autumn 2003
Summer 2003
Spring 2003
Winter 2002
Autumn 2002
Summer 2002
Spring 2002
Winter 2001
Autumn 2001
Summer 2001
Spring 2001
element
PSEA
Z500
T850
The values of BSS,Brel and Bres in the top of each panel denote the Brier skill score, reliability skill score and resolution skill score (%),respectively.
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