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Ensemble Model Prediction
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Hindcast(Global EPS)
> Time-series Circulation Index
Time-series Circulation Index
Initial date:
01/15
01/31
02/15
02/28
03/15
03/31
04/15
04/30
05/15
05/31
06/15
06/30
07/15
07/31
08/15
08/31
09/15
09/30
10/15
10/31
11/15
11/30
12/15
12/31
/Lead time:
week-1 to 4 (4 weeks mean) (day-3 to 30)
the first week (day-3 to 9)
the second week (day-10 to 16)
the third and fourth week (2 weeks mean) (day-17 to 30)
Element:
Z500 Northern Hemisphere Polar Vortex (0E-360E, 70-80N)
Z500 Far East Polar Vortex (90E-170E, 70N-80N)
Z500 Northern Hemisphere Zonal Index (40N-60N)
Z500 Far East Zonal Index (90E-170E, 40N-60N)
Z500 Sea of Okhotsk (130E-150E, 50N-60N)
Z500 Mid-latitude Height(MIDH) (90-170E, 30-40N)
Z500 Okinawa (120E-140E, 30N)
Z500 Ogasawara (130E-170E, 20N-30N)
Z500 East of Japan (140E-170E, 40N)
RAIN SAMOI (80E-140E, 5N-25N)
RAIN WNPM (110E-160E, 10N-20N)
RAIN WIO (40E-70E, EQ-20N)
RAIN EIO (70E-100E, EQ-20N)
RAIN Indian Monsoon (CI1) (70E-100E, 10N-25N)
RAIN Southeast Asian Monsoon (CI2) (115E-140E, 10N-20N)
RAIN Maritime Continent (MC) (110-135E, 5S-5N)
RAIN Date Line (DL) (170E-170W, 5S-5N)
U850-U200 Webstar and Yang Monsoon Index
U850 Western North Pacific Monsoon Index
Z500 EOF1 (winter)
Z500 EOF2 (winter)
Z500 EOF1 (spring)
Z500 EOF2 (spring)
Z500 EOF1 (summer)
Z500 EOF2 (summer)
Z500 EOF1 (autumn)
Z500 EOF2 (autumn)
Note: "RAIN" is available only week-1 to 4 (4 weeks mean) forecast with the initial date of end of month.
Black : Analysis
Closed Circle : Ensemble mean
Open Circle : Each member (ensemble size=13)
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Tokyo Climate Center, Climate Prediction Division.
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